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Managerial Economics - Analysis Of Risk And Uncertainty

Uncertainty - Analysis Of Risk And Uncertainty

   Posted On :  29.05.2018 01:39 am

Insurance ( Business risks are transferred through Insurance Policies)

Unsertainty

There are four ways to manage the risk and uncertainty:


1.      Insurance ( Business risks are transferred through Insurance Policies)

2.      Hedging is a mechanism whereby the expected loss is to be offset by an expected profit from another contract.

3.      Diversification is a method of managing the risk where the risk is spread to various investments and thus the risk is minimized to each investment.

4.      Adjusting risk is the mechanism whereby the provision is made to offset the expected loss.
 

Decision Under Uncertainty:

 
1.      The maximax rule: Deals with selecting the best possible outcome for each decision and choosing the decision with the maximum payoff for all the best outcomes.
 
2.      The Maximin rule: Deals with selecting a worst outcome for each investment decision and choosing the decision with the maximum worst payoff.
 
3.      The Minimax rule: Deals with determining the worst potential regret associated with each, decision, then choosing the decision with the minimum worst potential regret.
 
The above mentioned criteria may help to measure the minimum expected opportunity loss. The game theory may help the manager to overcome various problems and at the same time to take a better decision in the uncertain business world with minimum risk. Computer based simulation methods are also available to solve this problem. Sensitivity analysis which is less expensive and commonly used can also be used.

 

Tags : Managerial Economics - Analysis Of Risk And Uncertainty
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