So far we have considered a portfolio with only two securities. The benefits from diversification increase as more and more securities with less than perfectly positively correlated returns are included in the portfolio. As the number of securities added to a portfolio increases, the standard deviation of the portfolio becomes smaller and smaller. Hence, an investor can make the portfolio risk arbitrarily small by including a large number of securities with negative or zero correlation in the portfolio.
Portfolios With More Than Two Securities
So far we have considered a portfolio with only two securities. The
benefits from diversification increase as more and more securities with less
than perfectly positively correlated returns are included in the portfolio. As
the number of securities added to a portfolio increases, the standard deviation
of the portfolio becomes smaller and smaller. Hence, an investor can make the
portfolio risk arbitrarily small by including a large number of securities with
negative or zero correlation in the portfolio.
But, in reality, no securities show negative or even zero
correlation. Typically, securities show some positive correlation that is above
zero but less than the perfectly positive value (+ 1). As a result,
diversification (that is, adding securities to a portfolio) results in some
reduction in total portfolio risk but not in complete elimination of risk.
Moreover, the effects of diversification are exhausted fairly rapidly. That is,
most of the reduction in portfolio standard deviation occurs by the time the
portfolio size increases to 25 or 30 securities. Adding securities beyond this
size brings about only marginal reduction in portfolio standard deviation.
Adding securities to a portfolio reduces risk because securities
are not perfectly positively correlated. But the effects of diversification are
exhausted rapidly because the securities are still positively correlated to
each other though not perfectly correlated. Had they been negatively
correlated, the portfolio risk would have continued to decline as portfolio
size increased. Thus, in practice, the benefits of diversification are limited.
The total risk of an individual security comprises two components,
the market related risk called systematic risk and the unique risk of that
particular security called unsystematic risk. By combining securities into a
portfolio the unsystematic risk specific to different securities is cancelled
out. Consequently, the risk of the portfolio as a whole is reduced as the size
of the portfolio increases. Ultimately when the size of the portfolio reaches a
certain limit, it will contain only the systematic risk of securities included
in the portfolio. The systematic risk, however, cannot be eliminated. Thus, a
fairly large portfolio has only systematic risk and has relatively little
unsystematic risk. That is why there is no gain in adding securities to a
portfolio beyond a certain portfolio size. Figure depicts the diversification
of risk in a portfolio.
Diversification of risk
The figure shows the portfolio risk declining as the number of
securities in the portfolio increases, but the risk reduction ceases when the
unsystematic risk is eliminated.