An entrepreneur has an infinitely wide choice with respect to his project in different dimensions such as product/service, market, technology, equipment, scale of production, time phasing and location. Hence, the identification of investment opportunities (projects) calls for understanding the environment in which one operates, sensitivity to emerging in-vestment possibilities, imaginative analysis of a variety of factors and also chance of luck. This chapter is concerned with the scouting and screening of project ideas, steps in the project identification process and also consideration involved in identifying the new projects by an existing company.
Introduction
An entrepreneur has an
infinitely wide choice with respect to his project in different dimensions such
as product/service, market, technology, equipment, scale of production, time
phasing and location. Hence, the identification of investment opportunities
(projects) calls for understanding the environment in which one operates,
sensitivity to emerging investment possibilities, imaginative analysis of a
variety of factors and also chance of luck. This chapter is concerned with the
scouting and screening of project ideas, steps in the project identification
process and also consideration involved in identifying the new projects by an
existing company.
Project
Ideas
It is the first and foremost
task of an entrepreneur to find out suitable business which is feasible and
promising and which merit further examination and appraisal. Therefore, he has
to first search for a sound workable business idea and give a practical shape
to his idea. while doing so, the entrepreneur has to tackle the various
problems from time to time to achieve the ultimate success. Since the good
project ideas are elusive, a variety of sources should be tapped to stimulate
the generation of project ideas.
Sources
of Project Ideas
Project ideas could originate
from the various sources viz.,
Success story of a
friend/relatives
Experience of others in
manufacture/sale of product
Examining the inputs and
outputs of industries
Plan outlays and government
guidelines
Suggestions of financial
institutions and developmental agencies
Investigation of local
materials and resources
Economic and social trend of
the economy
New technological
developments
Project profiles and
industrial potential surveys
Visits to trade fairs
Unfulfilled psychological
needs
Possibility of reviving sick
units
The various sources from
which the project idea can be generated are explained below:
Analyse
the Performance of Existing Industries
A study of existing
industries in terms of their profitability and capacity utilisation is helpful.
The analysis of profitability and break even level of various industries
indicates promising investment opportunities. Opportunities which are
profitable and relatively risk free. An examination of capacity utilisation of
various industries provides information about the potential for further
investment. Such a study becomes more useful if it is done regionwise,
particularly for products which have high transportation costs.
Examine the Inputs and Outputs Of Industries
An analysis of the inputs
required for various industries may throw up project ideas. Opportunities exist
when (I) materials purchased parts, or supplies are presently being procured
from different sources with attendant time lag and transportation costs and
(ii) several firms produce internally some components/parts which can be
supplied at a lower cost by a single manufactures who can enjoy economies of
scale.
A study of the output
structure of existing industries may reveal opportunities for further
processing of output or even processing of waste.
Examine
Imports and Exports
An analysis of import statistics for a period
of five to seven years is helpful in understanding the trend of imports of
various goods and the potential for import substitution. Indigenous manufacture
of goods currently imported is advantageous for several reasons:
it improves the balance of payments situation
it provides market for supporting industries
and services
it generates employment
Likewise, an examination of export statistics
is useful in learning about the export possibilities of various products.
Plan
Outlays and Government Guidelines
The government plays a very important role in
our economy. Its proposed outlays in different sector provides useful pointers
toward investment opportunities. They indicate the potential demand for goods
and service required by different sectors.
Suggestions
of Financial Institutions and Developmental Agencies
In a bid to promote development of industries
in their respective states, state financial corporations state industrial
development corporations and other developmental bodies conduct studies,
prepare feasibility reports and offer suggestions to potential entrepreneur.
The suggestions of these bodies are helpful in identifying promising projects.
Investigate
Local Materials and Resources
A search for project ideas may begin with an
investigation into local resources and skills, various ways of adding value to
locally available materials may be examined. Similarly, the skills of local
artisans may suggest products that may be profitably produced and marketed.
Analyse
Economic and Social Trends
A study of economic and social trends is
helpful in projecting demand for various goods and services. Changing economic
conditions provide new business opportunities. A great awareness of the value
of time is dawning on the public. Hence the demand for time saving products
like prepared food items, ovens and powered vehicles has been increasing.
Another change that we are witnessing is that the desire for leisure and
recreational activities has been increasing. This has caused a growth in the
market for recreational products and services.
Identify
Unfulfilled Psychological Needs
For well established, multi brand product
groups like bathing soaps, detergents, cosmetics and tooth pastes, the question
to be asked is not whether there is an opportunity to manufacture something to
satisfy an actual physical need but whether there are certain psychological
needs of consumers which are presently unfulfilled. To find whether such an opportunity
exists, the technique of spectrum analysis may be followed. This analysis is
done somewhat as follows.
Important factors influencing brand choice are
identified respect of the factors identified in step gaps which exist in
relation to consumer psychological needs are identified.
Visit to
Trade Fairs
Attending the National and International trade
fairs provides an excellent opportunity to know about new products and new
development.
The abovesaid sources of project ideas may be
generated by the Government agencies, credit institutions, non governmental
organisations and also by public.
The Govt. have largest resources and have the
necessary information to generate project ideas and it plays a predominant role
in this sphere. The government has the required facilities and manpower to
conduct detailed studies which may lead to making investment decisions. Banks
and other financial institutions are actively involved in sharing the social
responsibility of achieving the national objectives of economic development.
The co-operatives and non governmental organisations as well as individual
entrepreneurs are now actively participated in identification of projects.
The awareness of involving the people or the
beneficiaries in project identification is now increasing fast. Since the local
people have the first hand knowledge of the potentials and problems of the area
to which they belong, more realistic project identification has become possible
with their involvement. It needs no emphasis the project ideas would be
generated in better manner both in the qualitative as well as quantitative
terms when the knowledge and ideas of the Govt. functionaries, people, the
financial institutions and other experts are pooled together.
Purpose and Need for Project
Identification
The entire economic management planning is
based on two fundamental assumptions. i.e. a) limited means and b) unlimited
ends. A planner has to select few important needs to cut it into size of
his/her means. This may be treated as fixing the priority is called
identification of project. It helps in elimination process. Identification and
selection of a project is a scientific process. This process is based on
certain essential conditions. It may differ from project to project. The
essential conditions which should be taken into consideration for
identification and selection of production projects are as follows:
Project should be in conformity with the
economic needs of the area.
It should take into account the depriving
factors which might have adverse impact.
The input-output ratio should be optimum.
The purpose of the project is to increase the
production and employment of the area.
Thus, the abovesaid conditions will differ due
to resources availability, use pattern and other relevant conditions of the
area. Besides that, project should also consider certain national priorities.
Steps in Project
Identification
Project ideas are like other ideas which don’t
take concrete shape immediately. There are several stages of making
propositions their considerations and scrutiny for their soundness.
An idea is first born, it is under incubation
for sometime and subsequently it begins to take some definite shape. The
project ideas to develop take almost the same course. This project
identification may be broadly divided into four stages, viz.,
Conceptual stage - where project ideas are
generated
Screening stage - at which unviable ideas are
eliminated
Identification stage - at which viable projects
are selected
Pre-feasibility state - at which
pre-feasibility studies are taking up.
Conceptual
Stage
A number of project ideas may be generated
either by those officials or non-officials and entrepreneurs individually or
collectively who are conversant with the area. In this context, one has to
examine the potentialities of development and the problems, needs and
aspirations of the people of the concerned area.
Screening
Stage
In the second stage project ideas generated
above are screened in a preliminary exercise to weed out the bad or unviable
ideas. All project ideas would not pass the screening test. Some project ideas
may be imaginary to warrant any serious consideration.
The third & fourth stages may be called as
investment opportunity study. This study is necessarily preliminary and the
broad one and has a limited objective of providing planners with a choice of
projects from which they can make a selection. Pre-feasibility study is an
intermediate stage between an investment opportunity study and a detailed
feasibility study and these can be differentiated mainly on the basis of
information required for respective stages.
Screening of Project Ideas
After gathering the project ideas from the
various sources as aforesaid, it is essential to eliminate ideas which prima
facie are not promising. This process of eliminating the irrelevant and
unviable ideas is called screening of project ideas. It can be done with the
help of testing the following conditions of the propositions.
Compatibility with the promoter
Consistency with governmental priorities
Availability of inputs
Adequacy of market
Reasonableness of cost
Acceptability of risk level etc.
The project idea must be compatible with
interest personality and resources of the entrepreneur. It should be accessible
to him and also it offers him the prospects of rapid growth and high return on
invested capital.
The project idea must satisfy or go along with
the governmental priorities, National goals and governmental regulatory
framework.
No contrary environmental effects to
governmental regulations
Easily accommodating foreign exchange
requirements No difficulty in obtaining license.
The resources and inputs required for the
project must be reasonably assured. This feature of the project can be assessed
with the help of determining the following points relating to a project.
Capital requirement within manageable limit
Obtaining technical know-how
Availability of raw materials at a reasonable
cost
Obtaining power supply
Identifying the adequacy of market is the key
factor to select, the viable project idea. To judge the adequacy of market the
following factors have to be examined.
Total present domestic market
Competitors and their market shares
Export market
Quality price profile of the product
Sale and distribution system
Projected increase in consumption
Barriers to the entry of new units
Economic social and demographic trends
favourable to increased consumption
Patent protection
Reasonableness of cost is another factor to
screen the project ideas. The cost structure of the proposed project must
enable it to realise an acceptable profit with a competitive price. The
following cost factors must be carefully considered to design a viable cost
structure.
Cost of material inputs, labour costs, factory
overheads.
General administration expenses, selling and
distribution costs.
Service costs, economics of scale etc.
Acceptability of risk level is another factor
which helps to screen the project ideas and hence determine the desirability of
a project.
Methodology for Project
Identification
To make a viable project it should be linked
with the actual circumstances prevailing in the area. Without knowing the basic
information relating to socio-economic conditions of the area, it is difficult
to draw a suitable project for the area. Development needs and potentials vary
from area to area. For specific area, before drawing a project, local condition
and other relevant factors must be taken into consideration. Most of the
project fail because they were not based on local problems. Assumptions based
on macro level information may fail to watch at micro level. Survey is a
technique to unearth the hidden information which are vital to identify the
basic requisites of project i.e. need, resources and priorities. It also helps
in making right choice between different alternatives. Secondly it presents lot
of information to be used as bench mark information which will help at the
later stage for evaluation of the project.
Project Identification for an
Existing Company
Existing companies essentially large scale
company form of organisations are continuously developing various projects for
their developmental purposes. While doing so, the existing company has to make
a more intensive analysis of its resources and environment and conceive of
projects on the basis of its existing activities. An existing company which
seeks to identify new project opportunities should undertake a “SWOT” analysis.
It is an acronym law of strengths and weaknesses and opportunities and threats.
This analysis evaluate all these four characteristics of existing company.
A brief summary of the points required for SWOT
analysis is given below:
Availability of internal financial reasons for
new projects after taking into account the need for replacement expenditure,
increase in working capital, repayment of borrowings and dividend payments.
Capability of raising external financial
resources.
Availability of production facilities.
Technological capabilities of the company.
Availability of different sources of raw
materials and its utilisation.
Availability of infrastructural facilities.
Cost structure and profit margins of the
company.
Distribution network of the company
Market share of the company.
Capability of top management of the company.
State of industrial relations in the company.
Impact of corporate laws on the growth of the
company especially (MRTP ACT) etc.,
Likely changes in the governmental policies.
Possibility of evolving new technology and its
impact on the cost structure of the company.
Existence and severity of competition.
Changes in the customers preferences, tastes
etc.
By considering the abovesaid information keenly
the SWOT analysis helps to provide the basis for the corporate strategy to be
followed and indicate the major areas of thrust. These may include expansion of
the capacity of existing product range, vertical integration, diversification
in related areas and mergers.
Summary
Thus this lesson has explained to you the
significance and mode of conceiving a good project idea. It also explains to
you the various sources from which the project ideas can be generated and how
one should select the project idea.