Let us begin with some terms in order to prevent confusion in reading this unit:
Let us begin with some terms in order to prevent confusion in reading this unit:
A
foreign currency exchange rate or simply exchange rate, is the price of one country’s currency in units of another currency
or commodity (typically gold or silver).
If the government of a country- for example, Argentina- regulates the
rate at which its currency- the peso- is exchanged for other currencies, the system or regime is classified as a fixed or managed exchange rate
regime. The rate at which the currency is fixed, or pegged, is frequently
referred to as its par value. if the government does not interfere in the valuation of its currency in any way, we classify the currency as floating or flexible.
Spot exchange rate is the quoted
price for foreign
exchange to be delivered at once, or in two days for inter-bank transactions. For example, ¥114/$
is a quote for the exchange rate between the Japanese yen and the U.S.
dollar. We would need 114 yen to buy one U.S.
dollar for immediate delivery.
Forward rate is the quoted price for foreign exchange to be delivered at a specified date in future.
For example, assume the 90-day
forward rate for the Japanese
yen is quoted as ¥112/$. No currency is exchanged today, but in 90 days it will take 112 yen to buy one U.S. dollar. This can be guaranteed by a forward
exchange contract.
Forward premium or discount is the percentage difference between the spot and forward exchange rate. To calculate this, using quotes from the previous two examples, one formula is:
Where S is the
spot exchange rate, F is the forward rate, and n is the number of days until the forward contract
becomes due.
Devaluation
of a currency refers
to a drop in foreign exchange value of a currency that is pegged
to gold or to another
currency. In other
words, the par value is reduced.
The opposite
of devaluation is revaluation. To calculate devaluation as a percentage, one formula is:
Weakening, deterioration, or
depreciation of a currency refers to a drop in
the foreign exchange
value of a floating currency. The opposite of weakening is strengthening or appreciating, which refers to a gain in
the exchange value of a floating
currency.
Soft or
weak describes a
currency that is expected to devalue or depreciate relative to major currencies. It also refers to currencies whose values are being artificially sustained by their
governments. A currency is considered hard or strong if it is expected to
revalue or appreciate relative
to major trading
currencies.
The next section presents
a brief history
of the international monetary system
form the days of the classical gold standard to the present
time.